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Turkey


Washington, with troop ships bound for Turkish ports, was offering $26 billion. These supposed "negotiations" between two allies looked more like bartering and is an embarrassment to the United States [www.sunspot.com]. Essentially if Turkey withheld support to the United States - with the possibility that this might increase the risk of U.S. casualties - it would alienate the U.S. It would also deprive Turkey of any influence in shaping any post-war period and deny Ankara (Turkey's capital), crucial financial compensation it has already negotiated with Washington in the event of war [www.washingtonpostnews.com]. By mobilizing troops into the Middle Eastern region, the U.S. hoped this would be all it would take for Saddam Hussein to comply and destroy the weapons. This being an example of the policy of prestige with a display of military force on the U.S.'s part,[Morgenthau, Pg 90]. Obviously Iraq is not backing down. Therefore, Turkey's hopes for a peaceful resolution are quickly sinking.
             On the other side Turkey is very reluctant to be involved in the conflict for good reasons. One reason is Iraq's minorities, the Kurdish. Turkey has been battling an insurrection among its own Kurdish minority for years, and fears a U.S. invasion will trigger a full-scale uprising aimed at establishing an independent Kurdish state in northwestern Iraq and southeastern Turkey, [The National Post, Wednesday Feb. 26, 2003]. Ankara is particularly unhappy the Iraq's Kurds have identified the oil-rich cities of Kirkuk and Mosul, currently controlled by Saddam's forces, as part of a future Kurdish region in a federal Iraqi state, [www.newsweek.com]. The Kurdish in Iraq are also opposed to Turkey's plans to move a military force into northern Iraq in the event of a U.S. invasion. Turkey would need to do this to prevent a large number of refugees flooding over its borders if war came.
             Aside from the Kurdish, Turkey also fears that a conflict could devastate its tourism industry, which brings in about $10 billion per year, [www.


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